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Related Expertise: コーポレートファイナンス&ストラテジー, 価値創出戦略とアクティビスト対応, ビジネス・レジリエンス

BCG Investor Perspectives Series

As we navigate an uncertain world, how do investors view the US economy and stock market? And what do they expect from business leaders?

BCG has been surveying portfolio managers and senior analysts to bring the voice of the investor to business leaders and boards of directors. Key findings from Pulse Check #21, conducted October 7–11, 2022, include:
  • Only 13% of investors are bullish on the economy—a new series low.
  • The number one macro concern for 87% of investors is inflation and the Federal Reserve’s policy.
  • Eighty-five percent believe a recession will start before or during the first half of 2023, including 40% that think the US is already in one.
  • More than ever across the past 20 surveys, investors want leaders to deliver on guidance, and a significant percentage continue to support leaders exiting or divesting lines of business to strengthen their company.
The series began in March 2020 as the COVID-19 Investor Pulse Check. Click here to view the most recent slideshow and explore earlier editions.

The BCG Investor Perspectives Series is intended to bring the voice of the investor to business leaders and board members. While we feature the most recent research here, you can explore earlier editions below.

Our most recent survey, conducted June 5–8, 2023, found that investors are remaining bearish for the short term and bullish beyond 2023 despite a wide variety of challenging macro events. Many investors (78%) expect inflation to remain elevated through at least the end of 2023 (up from 60% in February), but they anticipate that the rate will gradually decline for 2024 and 2025. When asked about companies’ concern that they are trading at a discount to their intrinsic value, 43% of investors cite an unclear growth strategy and outlook as a top-three reason, followed by a lack of management credibility. Investors are increasingly conservative about how companies allocate capital, especially for M&A and share buybacks.

The respondents represent investment firms with more than $5 trillion in combined assets under management. They cover a broad spectrum of investing types and styles, and about 96% are portfolio managers and senior analysts directly responsible for making buy, sell, and hold decisions. The series began in March 2020 as the COVID-19 Investor Pulse Check. This is the 23rd edition in the series.

BCG Investor Perspective Series | Past Editions

Authors

Headshot of BCG expert Jeff Kotzen

Jeff Kotzen

Managing Director & Senior Partner

New Jersey

Headshot of BCG expert Hady Farag

Hady Farag

Partner & Director

New York

Headshot of BCG expert Tim Nolan

Tim Nolan

Managing Director & Senior Partner

New York

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Julien Ghesquieres

Managing Director & Senior Partner

New York

Headshot of BCG expert Gregory Rice

Gregory Rice

Partner & Director

New York

Dan Riff | square

Dan Riff

Senior Advisor

Boston

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Callan Sainsbury

Principal

New York

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Rachna Sachdev

Project Leader

Toronto

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Perspectives on Strategy and Value: Insights on creating sustainable value in an uncertain world.

BCG Investor Perspectives Series

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