Managing Director & Senior Partner
Data access and silicon capabilities are hot assets. Chip makers want more data to build better chips, while device makers want to create customized chips to unlock business opportunities.
Disruptive technologies are creating exciting opportunities in areas as diverse as autonomous driving, cryptocurrencies, smart security, and smart homes. But many of the system and device manufacturers that aim to jump into these new markets are facing an unexpected obstacle: the mass-produced integrated circuits (ICs) they have been using can’t deliver the performance necessary for today’s highly specialized, real-time, data-heavy demands.
Meanwhile, the silicon-focused companies that make ICs have realized that they need to up their design game and should start producing more specialized ICs that will help customers unlock new business opportunities. Designing such chips will require a deeper knowledge of the industries these companies serve and better access to industry-specific data.
For IC makers as well as the industries that they serve, silicon and data are the two strategic control points in the new digital world. Exhibit 1 illustrates the approaches that companies are taking either to capture IC capabilities or to access data.
A number of companies have taken steps to move in these new directions, but they are not necessarily aiming for full ownership of the entire value chain. Most companies can adapt to the new digital world by forming tight collaborations with ecosystem partners that own critical assets. (See Exhibit 2.)
It’s common knowledge that companies need access to data if they want to leverage big data solutions and AI business opportunities. Less understood, however, is that companies can’t unlock new opportunities such as autonomous driving and smart manufacturing in a cost-efficient way with generic ICs. Businesses have a growing need for application-specific ICs (ASICs) that can run what is called edge computing.
Processing data close to the source, edge computing reduces the possibility of delays in sending data across long routes to data centers or clouds for analysis. It would be impractical—even dangerous—to transmit all data from an autonomous car to the cloud for analytics and then have to wait for suggested actions. The safety of passengers depends on real-time-processing capabilities that react promptly and correctly to the car’s environment. As the demand for ASICs evolves, more device manufacturers are moving vertically to build in-house IC design capabilities or to acquire such capabilities through M&A.
For example, several years ago one of China’s leading surveillance camera providers began offering a criminal detection solution. Every camera in the system performed facial recognition and an initial analysis to identify people who might have a match in a criminal database and then sent the processed data to the cloud for complex analysis and to notify authorities.
However, the company soon realized that general-use ICs were not up to the task. To deal efficiently with the large amounts of information collected by millions of surveillance cameras, it was necessary to process the data in an edge device before transmitting it to the cloud. The ICs that were available on the market were too costly and lacked such necessary features as low power consumption and the ability to adjust to differences in lighting. The company eventually chose to work with a strategic partner to design its own ASICs, significantly reducing the bandwidth and storage capacity needed for data transmission.
Meanwhile, large internet companies are capitalizing on their huge scale advantages. One global internet giant has more than 2 million servers worldwide and uses nearly 1 billion chips each year in its data centers. As its data center business grows exponentially, it can design and produce ever-better state-of-the-art chips to meet its business needs cost efficiently. Some consumer electronics manufacturers are also designing ASICs specifically to lower costs and improve pricing for their mass-market rollout to the smart-home market.
All this might seem threatening to the business model of established IC makers. It is. Disintermediation is a real threat for those that cannot up their design game and collaborate with customers to create ASICs that can power edge computing. But chip makers looking to develop a deeper knowledge of their customers and to access more data so that they can design and produce more specialized ICs can quickly run up against a number of thorny challenges.
One challenge is that vertical moves can jeopardize existing relationships. The long-established practice is for chip vendors to provide a stable and efficient hardware solution that device manufacturers can put to use. If chip vendors start moving vertically, gathering data to create more specialized ICs, device manufacturers might feel threatened.
Furthermore, even silicon-focused companies that have access to more industry data may lack the domain knowledge to design truly cutting-edge ASICs that can open up new business opportunities. And companies can be constrained by corporate priorities. If a new market, such as smart security, is smaller than the company’s existing business, such as smartphones, its leaders might be reluctant to devote resources to ASIC development.
Exhibit 3 illustrates the four main strategies we have observed silicon companies using to access data:
It’s important to bear in mind that not all companies need to move vertically to access IC capabilities or data. Before making a vertical move, companies need to determine whether the business opportunities that they are considering require strong edge- and real-time computing power, whether currently available chips could satisfy their needs in a cost-efficient way, and whether having data access or silicon capabilities would be strategically important for growth.
The smartphone and PC markets, for example, are still largely horizontal commercial platforms for processors, including CPUs, application processors, and memory providers. Meanwhile, foundries will likely remain competitive, as end users and solution providers continue to outsource chip production to avoid investing in high-cost fabrication.
But while there are exceptions, many companies will decide that they must move vertically to access IC capabilities or data—and the sooner the better. Fabless players—companies that outsource their silicon wafers—are already losing growth momentum as the PC and smartphone markets saturate; they also face severe threats from emerging IC design startups that are competing for new business opportunities. With this in mind, we have identified four imperatives critical to making successful vertical moves:
By acting on these four imperatives, a global fabless company successfully moved into the autonomous-vehicle business. It identified a promising segment with no dominant player in which it could apply core competencies and then moved quickly to cement collaborative arrangements and access test car data. Continuing to seek out partnerships in the auto ecosystem—including, for example, OEMs, sensor providers, tier one suppliers, and mapping-service providers—the company also moved quickly to establish an independent auto solutions department to focus on developing the new business.
Former Intel CEO Brian Krzanich recently stated that “today, data is the foundation of innovation. Everything you see here—smart city, auto driving, and AI—all started with data.” And SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son has said that “silicon is the core of IoT development. Data will not exist without silicon.”
We believe that the future belongs to those who embrace both views. Data and silicon are the two strategic control points in the new digital world. Companies across a broad swath of industries need to move vertically either to capture IC capabilities or to access data. Disruptive moments—like the one we are experiencing now—are actually excellent times for unlocking new opportunities and partnerships.